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AUD/USD Forecast – Aussie Continues to Chop

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jul 3, 2024, 12:49 GMT+00:00

The Aussie is continuing to go nowhere, as the summer trading range has been firmly shown to be between 0.67 and 0.66 below. However, it is also important to keep in mind that this market is likely to be waiting for clarity on the global economy before moving.

In this article:

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar Technical Analysis

The Australian dollar has tried to rally just a bit during the early hours on, Wednesday but really, at this point in time, we are essentially stuck in a range that we had been in for a while with the 0.67 level offering resistance and the 0.66 level underneath offering support. It’s also worth noting that the support region also features the 50 day EMA and the 200 day EMA indicators. So therefore, it’s just more messiness.

We have essentially done nothing for about two months, and I don’t see this changing rapidly. Although we do get the jobs report on Friday, that might cause some noise. But that remains to be seen. I think a lot of traders are concerned and trying to sort out whether or not they have the ability to find enough liquidity this time of year to really get things moving.

Furthermore, you have to pay close attention to the global economic situation because after all, Australia is a heavily commodity laden country, and therefore they need other countries to do well in order for them to do well. The US dollar is considered to be a safety currency, and that, of course, is something worth paying close attention to. In general, this is a market that I think remains rangebound, and until it breaks out, you have to trade it from short term charts at best. Nonetheless, whenever we finally break out of this range, it could be good for 100 points or more, but until then – it’s a neutral market.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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