Bitcoin price, despite recent volatility, is up 53% within the yearly-time frame, thanks to over $50 billion of inflows from BTC ETFs launched in January. Looking beyond BTC price performance, market data shows that Bitcoin ecosystem tokens have gained significant traction since the turn of the year.
On January 10, 2024, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) official approved the first Bitcoin spot ETFs for public trading in the United States. This landmark event has not only provided regulatory clarity on Bitcoin as a commodity, but it has also deepened to global adoption by investors in the traditional finance markets.
Since the approval, 10 US-based fund managers including the likes of Blackrock and VanEck have piled on billions of dollars worth of capital inflows.
July 10 marked the 6-month milestone from the Bitcoin ETFs approval date in January. As depicted in the chart above, the ETFs now control cumulative holdings of around 880,100 BTC, worth approximately $50.9 billion when valued at the current prices of around $58,000 per coin.
Zooming out, it also shows that Bitcoin ETFs have acquired approximately 5% of the Bitcoin market capitalization within 6 months of active trading.
Looking at Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart below, we see how the impact of the Bitcoin ETF inflows has increased Bitcoin’s share of the global crypto market. The BTC.D has increased from 51% in January to hit a yearly peak of 57% in April, before retracing toward 55% at the time of writing in July 2024.
This rising Bitcoin Dominance shows that over the past 6 months since the ETFs launch, Bitcoin has attracted considerably more investment inflows than other altcoins. However, according to industry experts, the impact of Bitcoin ETF inflows has extended beyond the BTC market alone.
In an exclusive interview with FXEmpire, co-Founder & CEO of Darewise Entertainment and a genesis member of OPAL Foundation, Benjamin Charbit, provides insights into what investors can expect in H2 2024.
Benjamin Charbit (B.C): Bitcoin ETFs have significantly impacted the Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem. These inflows have driven up Bitcoin’s price and market capitalization, providing more liquidity and stability, which benefits DeFi protocols by reducing slippage and improving trading efficiency. The success of these ETFs has also boosted Bitcoin’s credibility, attracting more retail and institutional investors.
As ETFs hold large amounts of Bitcoin, they reduce the available supply, driving up scarcity and potentially increasing prices. Institutional engagement has increased, leading to more advanced DeFi products and clearer regulatory frameworks, maturing the market.
However, the concentration of Bitcoin in ETFs raises concerns about centralization, prompting discussions on maintaining decentralization within the ecosystem. Overall, these inflows have enhanced liquidity, adoption, and market maturation in the Bitcoin DeFi space.
B.C: Overall, the sentiment is that new-user acquisition has been disappointing. Many were hoping—wrongfully, I think—that the launch of Runes, a more optimized standard for fungible tokens on Bitcoin, would significantly increase adoption and transaction volume. However, the user experience is still quite poor, and the ecosystem lacks utility and proper DeFi.
B.C: OPAL has been designed as a framework to align the interests and incentives of all teams building Web3 projects for Bitcoin.
Whether in gaming, entertainment, education, e-commerce, or other sectors, OPAL welcomes any project that wants to collaborate with other members of the ecosystem to maximize their chances of succeeding together.
Powered by BLIF tokens, OPAL has already inspired over 20 projects, including Magic Eden and AlexLabs, to create dedicated utilities for the token and be rewarded for their efforts.
While the global crypto market has experienced intense volatility this year, a few new narratives and emerging sectors have thrived. Undoubtedly, SocialFi, Real-World Assets, and Asset tokenization have dominated media trend cycles.
But following the money, on-chain data shows how billions of inflow of funds from new-approved ETFs has triggered major growth spurt in the Bitcoin’s native defi ecosystem as well.
DeFillama’ chart below shows how Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem has been on a steady growth trajectory since the Bitcoin ETFs launched in 2024.
At close of Dec 31 2023, Bitcoin DeFi TVL stood at $307.6 million. But at the ETF inflows trickled in, liquidity and funds deposited on across defi protocols built on the Bitcoin blockchain has also surged, reflecting increase adoption and investor interest.
The Bitcoin defi TVL more than tripled for the year, when it peaked at $1.13 billion on June 6, before the market volatility sent it spiralling towards $631.91 million at the time of writing on July 12. This further emphasizes Benjamin Charbit’s recent statements on how the ETF inflows is driving organic growth with the native Bitcoin defi ecosystem.
Currently, tokens like ORDI, Opal (BLIF), Bitcoin Wizards (WZRD) and RUNES are some of the Bitcoin native tokens that could witness significant upside in the second half of 2024.
Strategic investors will keep an eye on these tokens, especially if the US Fed cuts interest rates and it triggers another accumulation wave across the crypto market, as observed ahead of the 2021 crypto market rally.
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is a seasoned research analyst with a background in Commercial Banking and Web3 startups, specializing in DeFi and TradFi analysis. He holds a B.A. in Economics and is pursuing an MSc in Blockchain.