The crude oil markets are a bit mixed in the early hours of Monday, as the two markets that I follow here at FX Empire are sitting on major support levels. Because of this, the short-term traders out there are likely to be interested in these assets.
The West Texas Intermediate crude oil market fell pretty significantly in the early hours on Monday, but it does sit just above a major support zone which extends all the way down to the $65 level. So, I think the downside is somewhat limited. If we bounce, the $70 level could offer a little bit of resistance right along with the 50 day EMA at roughly $71.50.
And then the $72.50 level has been important multiple times. So, I think that is also worth paying attention to. As things stand right now, this looks like a market that could bounce a bit, but it is going to more or less be a market for short-term trading.
The Brent market looks very much the same as we rallied in the early hours, but we were closer to the support to begin with in the form of $70. At this point in time, if we do rally, the 50-day EMA is more likely than not going to attract a certain amount of attention near the $74.50 level and then again, the 200 day EMA and the $80 level above there could cause resistance.
I don’t necessarily think that oil is going to break down from here, but if it does, it could be a really ugly turn of events due to the fact that both grades of oil are sitting on top of support that have lasted for about two years. So, it would obviously signal some type of shift in the market. Nonetheless, I think any move at this point in time is probably going to more or less be a short-term type of situation.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.