The crude oil market has fallen again on Friday, as we continue to see the downtrend take hold of the market.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has fallen a bit during the trading session on Friday, as we continue to see a lot of negativity. Keep in mind that a lot of people are concerned about the lack of demand coming as the global economy is almost certainly going to go into a recession. If that’s going to be the case, crude oil will continue to be a bit of a punching bag.
It’s worth noting that we have broken below the $75 level again, therefore it’s likely that we could go down to the $70 level. Short-term rallies will more likely than not could show signs of exhaustion that you jump on, and I have no interest in trying to buy this market until we break above the 50-Day EMA.
Brent markets have also fallen during the day, breaking below the $80 handle. That being said, we are also in the midst of a major downtrend, so I do think the Brent has further to go. It would not surprise me at all to see the market test the lows again, closer to the $75 level. Breaking down below the $75 level would be rather negative, perhaps sending this market down to the $72.50 level.
On the other hand, if we turn around and rally, we would have to take out the highs of the last couple of days to get a short-term pop, and even then, I believe that the 50-Day EMA could be a dynamic ceiling. In other words, any rally at this point in time will more likely than not be a nice shorting opportunity if we get some type of long wick.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.