The direction of the March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract over the short-run will be determined by trader reaction to 30827.
March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures finished higher on Tuesday. The blue chip average was supported by a surge in shares of component Goldman Sachs Group, which rose 2.5% as its fourth-quarter profit more than doubled, dwarfing estimates after another blowout performance at its trading and underwriting business.
On Tuesday, March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures settled at 30828, up 108 or +0.35%.
Goldman Sachs on Tuesday beat analysts’ expectations for fourth-quarter profit and revenue on strong performance from the firm’s equities traders and investment bankers. The bank posted earnings of $12.08 a share, crushing the $7.47 estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. Revenue of $11.74 billion exceeded expectations by about $1.75 billion.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through 31116 will change the main trend to up. A move through 30506 will signal a resumption of the downtrend.
The minor range is 31148 to 30506. The market is currently straddling its 50% level at 30827.
The second minor range is 29760 to 31148. Its 50% level at 30454 is potential support.
The short-term range is 29318 to 31148. Its 50% level is another potential support level.
Tuesday’s price action suggests the direction of the March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract over the short-run will be determined by trader reaction to 30827.
A sustained move over 30827 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this generates enough upside momentum then look for a test of 31116. Taking out this level will change the main trend to up. This could trigger an extension of the rally into the next main top at 31148.
A sustained move under 30827 will signal the presence of sellers. This could lead to a retest of Friday’s minor bottom at 30506, followed by 30454. If this fails then look for an extension of the selling into 30233. This level is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the downside.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.