Wall Street ends July with robust gains; tech stocks drive momentum, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieve consecutive monthly gains.
Stock futures point to a positive start for Wall Street as the month of July comes to a close, with major indices showing robust gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures nudged up 0.1%, while the S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%. Meanwhile, Nasdaq-100 futures saw a slight dip.
July has been a strong month for the S&P 500, with a 3% increase, marking its fifth consecutive month of gains – a remarkable feat not seen since August 2021. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite also fared well, gaining 3.8% month-to-date, and is on track for its fifth straight winning month.
The Dow Jones, comprising blue-chip stocks, achieved a solid 3.1% increase in July. Notably, the index recorded a 13-day winning streak, matching its longest streak of gains dating back to 1987.
The market’s momentum has broadened beyond mega-cap companies, reflecting a shift in participation. A series of positive economic data in the U.S., easing inflation pressures, and expectations of the Federal Reserve concluding its rate-hiking campaign have contributed to the market’s expansion since early June.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates, reaching the highest level in over 22 years, and Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the central bank’s data-driven approach, making decisions on a “meeting-by-meeting” basis.
This week, investors are eagerly awaiting the big jobs report. Economists predict that the U.S. economy likely added 200,000 jobs in July, following an increase of 209,000 nonfarm payrolls in June.
In recent news, Morgan Stanley downgraded Salesforce, a software company, to equal weight, citing limited near-term catalysts despite confidence in its long-term potential. However, the analyst raised the price target to $278 from $251, suggesting a 23% upside from the previous close. Salesforce shares have had an impressive rally this year, rising more than 70%, though they experienced a 1.5% pullback in the premarket session. The company’s opportunities in artificial intelligence monetization are expected to take some time to materialize.
Earnings season has been strong so far, with approximately 78.7% of the S&P 500 companies surpassing analyst expectations. This performance exceeds the typical quarterly beat rate since 1994, which stands at 66%.
Looking ahead, ON Semiconductor, Arista Networks, and Western Digital are scheduled to report earnings on Monday, while tech giants Apple and Amazon will announce their results later in the week.
As traders keep a close eye on the jobs report and earnings announcements, the market’s recent positive performance and expanding participation continue to generate interest and enthusiasm among investors.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.