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Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, S&P 500 News: Tesla’s Winning Streak Propels Market Sentiment Higher

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Jul 3, 2024, 15:39 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Tesla stock heads for seventh consecutive positive session in 2024, contributing to a bullish tone in the broader market.
  • ADP reports private payroll growth below expectations, while ISM services PMI registers at 48.8%, indicating contraction in the sector.
  • Jim Paulsen suggests Fed easing could trigger a broader rally, noting this bull market's unique existence under tightening conditions.
NASDAQ Index, SP500, Dow Jones Forecasts

In this article:

Market Sentiment Mixed Amid Economic Data and Holiday-Shortened Session

U.S. stocks traded near the flatline in Wednesday’s shortened session as traders digested mixed economic data. The New York Stock Exchange closed early at 17:00 GMT and will remain shut on Thursday for Independence Day.

At 15:23 GMT, the Dow is trading 39287.64, down 44.21 or -0.11%. The S&P 500 Index is at 5522.49, up 13.48 or +0.24% and the Nasdaq 100 is trading 18112.32, up 83.56 or +0.46%.

Economic Indicators Show Softening

June’s economic data painted a picture of a cooling economy. ADP reported private payroll growth below expectations, while weekly jobless claims came in higher than forecast. The Institute for Supply Management’s services PMI unexpectedly contracted, registering 48.8% against an anticipated 52.8%.

Tesla Rally Continues

Tesla’s stock maintained its upward momentum, heading for its seventh consecutive positive session – the longest winning streak of 2024. This rally has contributed to a bullish tone in the broader market, according to Larry Tentarelli, chief technical strategist at Blue Chip Daily Trend Report.

Sector Performance Varied

The market saw mixed sector performance. Leisure and hospitality led job gains, followed by construction and professional services. Technology stocks, particularly in the electric vehicle space, showed strength. However, the unexpected contraction in the services sector weighed on related stocks.

Bond Yields Decline

A drop in bond yields provided some support to equities. This decline comes as investors await the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting, due an hour after Wednesday’s closing bell.

Labor Market Shows Signs of Cooling

The Labor Department reported initial jobless claims rose to 238,000 for the week ending June 29, surpassing estimates. Continuing claims increased to 1.858 million, the highest level since November 2021. Additionally, ADP’s report showed private payrolls increased by only 150,000 in June, below the expected 160,000.

Market Forecast

Despite mixed signals, the market outlook remains cautiously optimistic. Jim Paulsen, author of “Paulsen Perspectives,” suggests that if the Federal Reserve eases its monetary policy, it could trigger a broader rally. He notes that the current bull market is unique, having existed entirely under tightening Fed conditions.

As traders look ahead to Friday’s crucial June jobs report, the market appears poised for potential gains. However, much depends on upcoming economic data and the Fed’s future policy decisions. The short-term outlook leans slightly bullish, contingent on positive surprises in employment figures and any indications of a less hawkish Fed stance.

Technical Analysis

Daily E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index futures are inching higher on light volume, with many major players sidelined until next week. Momentum remains strong, and investors show no signs of worry as the tech-heavy index continues to generate higher highs and higher lows.

The index is well supported by the 50-day moving average at 19082.50 and the 200-day moving average at 17723.00. However, as the gap between the latest high and these moving averages widens, concerns about an overbought and overvalued market are likely to increase.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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