US Stock Futures Mixed as Earnings Season Kicks Off
U.S. stock index futures are showing mixed performance early Friday following the S&P 500’s worst session since April. Investors are closely watching the start of the second-quarter earnings season, with major banks leading the reports.
At 11:54 GMT, Dow Futures are trading 40098.00, up 9.00 or 0.02%. S&P 500 Index Futures are at 5641.00, up 1.25 or +0.02% and Nasdaq 100 Futures are trading 20433.50, down 8.25 or -0.04.%.
Bank Earnings in Focus
Wells Fargo shares dropped 6% in pre-market trading after reporting lower-than-expected net interest income for Q2. The bank also forecasts a 7% to 9% decline in net interest income this year. JPMorgan, however, posted higher-than-anticipated Q2 revenue, driven by strong investment banking fees, though its shares edged lower.
Tech Sector Weakness
Thursday saw a significant market rotation, with investors selling off Big Tech stocks:
- The S&P 500 fell 0.88%
- Nasdaq Composite lost 1.95%
- Both indices broke seven-day winning streaks
- Nvidia declined 5.6%
- Meta Platforms dropped 4.1%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average outperformed, gaining a modest 0.08%.
Economic Data and Market Sentiment
The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported a 0.1% monthly decline, prompting investors to shift towards sectors that could benefit from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. The Russell 2000 small-cap index surged 3.6% in response.
Dow Jones Price Forecast
Every new Dow Jones analysis as it publishes, today's technical signal and key levels, live price — on one page.
See all Dow Jones forecastsUpcoming economic releases include:
- June’s Producer Price Index (PPI)
- July’s preliminary consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan
Rotation to Dictate Second Half Trend
Warren Pies, strategist at 3Fourteen Research, suggests that Thursday’s rotation could be indicative of market trends for the second half of the year. He anticipates that upcoming corporate earnings and a credit expansion narrative will drive market performance.
Market Forecast
Based on the current data and expert analysis, the market outlook appears cautiously bullish for the opening. While tech stocks may face continued pressure, sectors benefiting from potential rate cuts could see gains. Investors should closely monitor bank earnings and upcoming economic data for further direction.
Technical Analysis
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are edging slightly higher on Friday after testing their highest level since May 23 earlier in the session.
The daily chart indicates the market has a clear shot at the double-top at 40622 and 40767. Further rotation out of overpriced tech stocks may be the catalyst that drives prices into these levels.
Providing significant support for the Blue Chip average is the 50-day moving average at 39565.
