S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq-100 futures fluctuate, balancing between Fed meeting anticipation, job reports, and GitLab's standout performance.
U.S. stock futures are edging lower before Tuesday’s cash market opening, as cautious sentiment emerged following a recent rally. Despite five consecutive positive weeks for major averages, Monday saw a downturn, signaling a possible shift in investor behavior.
Contrary to the performance of larger-cap indexes, the Russell 2000, a small-cap index, gained 1% the previous session, hinting at a broadening market rally. This uptick, amounting to a nearly 7% rise over the past month, is fueled by trader confidence that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates next year, despite recent hawkish statements.
At 13:43 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stood at 36193.00, the S&P 500 at 4565.25, and the Nasdaq-100 at 15813.50, all showing modest declines.
Noteworthy stock movements included GitLab’s 14% rise following strong fiscal results, Lands’ End’s 9% drop due to earnings weaknesses, and CVS Health’s over 1% increase in premarket trading after providing optimistic revenue guidance.
Investors’ eyes are on the Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield slipping as they await job data insights. Economic data points, including the JOLTs job openings and the ISM services industry data, will be eagerly watched for clues about the Federal Reserve’s policy direction in the upcoming meeting. Despite anticipation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent remarks suggest rate cut speculations may be premature.
In the short term, U.S. stocks face a period of subdued growth, with expectations of minimal movement in major indices. This outlook is shaped by factors like high interest rates and challenges in consumer spending, coupled with a conservative earnings forecast.
The trading environment is further influenced by the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on December 12-13, where key policy decisions could impact market trajectories. Additionally, the typically lower trading volumes during the Christmas and New Year holidays are likely to play a role in market activity. Investors are advised to maintain a cautious approach, anticipating a narrow trading range in the near future.
The E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index, currently priced at 15791.25, shows a slight decline when compared to the previous close. It’s trading above both the 200-day moving average of 14472.49 and the 50-day average of 15266.65, indicating a generally bullish trend in the medium to long term.
The index is hovering just above the minor support level at 15717.75, which, if breached, could suggest a shift in market sentiment.
However, the current positioning above this support level, coupled with being well above the main support at 15419.50, reinforces a bullish outlook.
The proximity to the minor resistance at 16203.25 will be a key area to watch, as crossing this barrier could signal further upside potential.
Overall, the market sentiment for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index appears bullish, supported by its position relative to key moving averages and current support levels.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.