U.S. stocks started the week on a positive note, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining momentum. Broad-based strength in technology and consumer discretionary stocks powered the rally, while mixed economic signals and upcoming data releases kept traders cautious.
At 16:43 GMT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading 44788.62, down 122.03 or -0.27%. The S&P 500 Index is at 6047.52, up 15.14 or +0.25% and the Nasdaq Composite is trading 19415.50, up 197.34 or +1.03%.
The S&P 500 briefly touched a record high, supported by a strong November performance for U.S. equities. Both the S&P 500 and Dow capped their best monthly gains in a year, reflecting renewed investor confidence. However, declining issues outnumbered advancers on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, hinting at underlying caution.
Economic data offered mixed signals. The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November, indicating a slight improvement in factory activity, while the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI was revised upwards to 49.7. Upcoming economic reports, including October job openings on Tuesday, November private payrolls on Wednesday, and the pivotal nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, are expected to shape market sentiment further.
The technology sector was a standout performer on Monday, with megacap and growth stocks rallying. Tesla gained 2.6% after Stifel boosted its price target to $411, citing optimism around the company’s prospects. Semiconductor stocks also advanced, with Intel rising 2.5% following the announcement of CEO Pat Gelsinger’s retirement. The broader semiconductor index climbed 2%, underscoring strength in the chipmaking sector.
Consumer discretionary stocks hit a record high, adding 1% on the day, driven by optimism around holiday spending trends and broader economic resilience.
While technology and consumer discretionary led gains, healthcare stocks weighed on the Dow, reflecting sector-specific pressures. Super Micro, an AI server maker, surged 13.7% after announcing a search for a new finance chief to address accounting concerns, highlighting investor confidence in its AI-related growth potential.
Republican candidate Donald Trump’s return to the White House, along with a Republican majority in Congress, has added a layer of market speculation. His policy agenda, including tax cuts and deregulation, is seen as favorable for corporate performance but could amplify inflation risks. Traders are closely monitoring Federal Reserve speakers this week, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, for signals on future policy adjustments.
The short-term outlook leans cautiously bullish, with technology and consumer discretionary stocks providing upward momentum. However, the market remains data-sensitive, with Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report likely to be a key inflection point. A stronger-than-expected labor market could spark inflation concerns, potentially limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease rates. Traders should prepare for possible volatility as markets digest the week’s economic and policy developments.
More Information in our Economic Calendar.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.