Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Oil Rallies on US Stockpiles Drop, Brent at $85

Market Overview

Oil prices extended gains on Thursday, driven by a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles, bolstering optimism about demand in the world’s largest oil consumer. This positive outlook was further reinforced by anticipation of interest rate cuts by both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, alongside a weakening dollar.

These factors collectively offset concerns over modest Chinese economic growth, as healthy demand signals from the U.S. and the prospect of stimulated growth through lower interest rates continue to support the oil market.

The upcoming policy news from a key leadership gathering in China is also awaited with interest. This bullish trend in oil prices could have a positive impact on natural gas prices, as both commodities are often correlated in the energy market.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural Gas (NG) futures are trading lower at $2.30, down 0.82% for the day. The 4-hour chart reveals a bearish bias, with prices trading below both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of $2.18 and $2.38, respectively.

The pivot point at $2.06 is a critical level to watch. A break below this could accelerate the downtrend towards the support levels of $1.98, $1.92, and $1.85. Conversely, a move above $2.06 could signal a potential reversal, with the next resistance levels at $2.13, $2.21, and $2.28.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI crude oil (USOIL) is currently trading at $81.88, up 0.36% on the day. The 4-hour chart shows the commodity is trading above both its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of $81.77 and $81.74 respectively, suggesting a bullish trend. Immediate resistance lies at $82.43, followed by $82.90 and $83.53.

However, a break below the pivot point of $81.36 could trigger a sharp selloff towards support levels at $80.44, $79.71, and $79.07. Traders should closely monitor price action around the $81.36 level for further direction.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent crude oil (UKOIL) is currently trading at $85.42, a modest 0.33% gain for the day. While the commodity is holding above the pivot point of $85.29 on the 4-hour chart, it is trading below both its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of $84.77 and $84.97, respectively.

This suggests a potential conflict between short-term bullishness and longer-term bearishness.

A break above the immediate resistance level of $86.17 could propel prices higher towards $86.86 and $87.63, but a failure to hold above the pivot point could trigger a sharp decline towards the support levels of $84.79, $84.26, and $83.43.