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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Uptrend Supports WTI at $80.68; Buy Now?

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Jun 26, 2024, 10:50 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Oil prices rise amid geopolitical risks and anticipated Q3 inventory drawdowns.
  • Analysts project a 1.5 million barrels per day deficit in Q3 due to OPEC+ cuts.
  • Natural gas prices face short-term pressures from a stronger dollar and bearish inventory data.
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Uptrend Supports WTI at $80.68; Buy Now?

In this article:

Market Overview

Oil prices rose during Asian trade on Wednesday, driven by Middle East geopolitical risks and anticipated inventory drawdowns in the peak third quarter demand season.

Despite a surprising increase in U.S. stockpiles, market sentiment remains bullish, expecting demand to offset supply concerns. Analysts project a 1.5 million barrels per day deficit in the third quarter due to OPEC+ cuts and seasonal demand.

This outlook supports both natural gas and oil prices, despite short-term pressures from a stronger dollar and bearish inventory data.

WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is currently trading at $81.27, up 0.62%. The 4-hour chart reveals a pivot point at $80.68, which is crucial for determining the market direction. Immediate resistance is at $81.80, followed by $82.35 and $83.05.

On the downside, immediate support is at $80.23, with further levels at $79.52 and $78.76. Technical indicators show the 50-day EMA at $80.25 and the 200-day EMA at $79.05, indicating a bullish trend.

Overall, maintaining a position above the pivot point of $80.68 supports a bullish outlook, while a break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart
Brent Price Chart

UKOIL is currently trading at $84.63, up 0.58%. The 4-hour chart shows a pivot point at $84.29, crucial for determining market direction. Immediate resistance is at $85.19, followed by $85.65 and $86.19.

On the downside, immediate support is at $83.83, with further levels at $83.28 and $82.53. Technical indicators reveal the 50-day EMA at $84.23 and the 200-day EMA at $83.28, indicating a bullish trend.

The outlook remains bullish above the pivot point of $84.29. However, a break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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