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Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural Gas Continues to Rally

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: May 17, 2024, 15:06 GMT+00:00

Natural gas markets have rallied again quite viciously during the trading session on Friday, as we continue to see buyers come in and pressure the market to the upside every chance they get.

In this article:

Natural Gas Technical Analysis

Natural gas has been on a tear as of late and we are most certainly overbought. That being said, you can’t short this market. It’s far too volatile. And of course, what most people do not realize is natural gas really isn’t that big of a market.

So with that being said, it can be thrown around quite a bit by the latest headline. Short term pullbacks obviously would be buying opportunities now that we are well above the 200 day EMA. But at this point in time, I think you have to look at it through the prism of a market of trying to find value in.

If we can find that value, then it will be a wonderful thing and we can get long again. As for myself, I am currently long, although less long than I once was in my ETF position. With that being said, I like the idea of buying dips near the 200 day EMA and would love to get closer to the $2 level in order to find a little bit of value in this market.

The $2.50 level above could offer a bit of a resistance barrier as well, so do keep that in mind. And I think you’ve got a situation where traders will continue to look at this as a market that’s played through momentum, nothing else. There’s nothing else driving it at this moment. Just like most other financial markets, it’s about the gamification of indices and stocks etc.

So, with that being said, you need to see a pullback in order to find some value. And at that point in time, you can take advantage of it. Chasing the natural gas markets up here is not a wise idea as we are so overbought.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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