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Nvidia Earnings Spark the Question: Can the Bullish Trend Continue?

By:
Muhammad Umair
Published: Aug 29, 2024, 12:30 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • NVIDIA reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with significant revenue growth.
  • The Data Center segment delivered an exceptional performance with record revenue, demonstrating significant growth from the previous quarter and last year.
  • The company is well-positioned for continued growth, with a positive revenue and profitability outlook for the third quarter of fiscal 2025.
  • Despite market volatility, NVIDIA's stock remains bullish, with the potential for further gains as it continues to lead in AI and advanced computing markets.
Nvidia, FX Empire

In this article:

NVIDIA has demonstrated remarkable growth in Q2 2025, reporting substantial revenue and earnings growth driven by strong market demand for its advanced computing products. These impressive financial results reflect its leading position in the AI and high-performance computing markets, with the Data Center segment showing solid performance.

As NVIDIA continues to innovate and expand its AI and data center technologies offerings, it remains well-positioned for continued growth and success in the evolving tech landscape. This article discusses NVIDIA’s Q2 2025 earnings and their impact on the stock price to determine its potential future direction.

AI and Advanced Computing Fuel NVIDIA’s Exceptional Performance

NVIDIA reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, showcasing substantial growth and robust market demand. The company generated $30.0 billion in revenue for the quarter, marking a 15% increase from Q1 2025 and a remarkable 122% rise compared to Q2 2024. GAAP earnings per diluted share rose to $0.67, reflecting a 12% increase quarter-over-quarter and a significant 168% year-over-year growth.

Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were also impressive at $0.68, up 11% from the prior quarter and 152% from a year ago. CEO Jensen Huang attributed these record results to the surging demand for NVIDIA’s advanced computing products, including Hopper and the upcoming Blackwell, as data centres globally accelerate their adoption of generative AI and high-performance computing solutions.

In addition to its strong earnings performance, NVIDIA committed to enhancing shareholder value through substantial capital returns. During the first half of fiscal 2025, the company returned $15.4 billion to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends. With $7.5 billion remaining under its existing repurchase authorization, NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a significant $50.0 billion increase in share repurchase authorization on August 26, 2024, indicating confidence in the company’s prospects.

Moreover, NVIDIA completed a ten-for-one stock split in June 2024, retroactively adjusting all share and per-share figures to reflect this change. The company also announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share, emphasizing its commitment to rewarding shareholders while continuing to innovate and lead in the AI and data center markets.

NVIDIA’s outlook for Q3 2025 suggests a positive trajectory, with expected revenue of around $32.5 billion, indicating further growth following its strong performance in the previous quarter. The company anticipates maintaining solid profitability, with projected GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins in the mid-70% range, reflecting efficient cost management and robust demand for its products.

Operating expenses are forecasted to increase, aligning with NVIDIA’s commitment to investing in innovation and expanding AI and advanced computing. Additionally, NVIDIA expects a significant income from other sources, bolstering its financial stability. With a steady tax rate of approximately 17%, the company appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the tech industry.

Key Drivers Behind NVIDIA’s Recent Growth

The key driver of NVIDIA’s strong success is the substantial growth across its segments. NVIDIA’s Data Center segment demonstrated outstanding performance, setting a record with $26.3 billion in revenue. This represents a 16% increase from Q1 2025 and an impressive 154% growth compared to Q2 2024.

The segment’s growth was driven by the strong demand for NVIDIA’s advanced AI and machine learning solutions, including the new H200 Tensor Core and Blackwell architecture B200 Tensor Core processors, outperforming competitors in the latest MLPerf benchmarks. Additionally, the Data Center segment saw widespread adoption of its NVIDIA Spectrum-X™ Ethernet networking platform and the release of the NVIDIA NIM™ for developers, further solidifying its leadership in the AI and data center markets.

On the other hand, Gaming and AI PC segment also experienced solid growth, with revenue reaching $2.9 billion, up 9% from Q1 2025 and 16% year-over-year. The segment benefited from expanding its GeForce RTX and DLSS technology, with new game releases and an expanding library of over 600 RTX games and applications.

NVIDIA also introduced innovative technologies such as NVIDIA ACE for digital humans and Project G-Assist, showcasing the potential of AI in gaming and digital creation. The continued expansion of GeForce NOW, particularly into new markets like Japan, has helped broaden NVIDIA’s reach and attract more gamers to its cloud gaming service.

Professional Visualization and Automotive and Robotics segments showed more modest growth. Professional Visualization revenue reached $454 million, driven by new AI models and microservices for industrial applications. Meanwhile, the Automotive and Robotics segment achieved $346 million in revenue, a 5% increase from the previous quarter and a 37% rise compared to the previous year. Advancements in robotics platforms and autonomous vehicle technologies, including the adoption of the Isaac robotics platform by leading companies, supported the segment’s growth.

Overall, the Data Center segment performed best in revenue growth and appears to have the most promising future. The segment’s continued innovation in AI and data center technologies and strong market adoption of its new products positions it well for sustained growth. As enterprises increasingly seek to integrate AI into their operations, NVIDIA’s comprehensive solutions for data centers and AI applications will likely drive continued demand, making it the most compelling segment for future expansion.

Understanding the NVIDIA’s Volatility

NVIDIA had a negligible reaction following the earnings report and corrected slightly lower. However, volatility remains high, suggesting an upward move could develop anytime. The monthly chart for NVIDIA below shows highly volatile bars that emerged after a solid bullish hammer formed at the bottom.

This strong rally from the bottom and significant volatility indicate that NVIDIA is prepared to continue upward momentum despite being in highly overbought conditions. The strong recovery in the stock price in August 2024 indicates bullish momentum and the potential for a continued rally to the upside.

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To further understand this bullish momentum, the chart below shows the historical bottom formation in Q3 and Q4 2022, followed by the symmetrical broadening wedge formation in Q4 2023. The breakout from this symmetrical broadening wedge initiated a strong surge in the market. This surge was also supported by the geopolitical crisis of 2024, which drove the price to record highs of $140.76. The blue circle below highlights intense volatility, suggesting that NVIDIA’s stock price might remain robust.

The price correction in June and July was due to highly overbought market conditions, but August saw a strong rally that recovered nearly all of the losses from those months. This recovery in August presents significant volatility. However, the price must exceed $140.76 to initiate the next move. If the stock price fails to break above this level, it might remain within a wide range and consolidate for a prolonged period to stabilize before the next strong move.

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The chart below shows an ascending broadening wedge to understand NVIDIA’s price targets further, indicating a high potential for the stock price to increase. The chart also displays the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with the head at $10.80 and the shoulders at $14.04 and $13.88. The breakout from $186 initiated a strong surge in Nvidia’s stock price. Additionally, the consolidation during Q3 2023 suggested price compression.

These price compressions lead to a significant move once broken. This compression was a key factor behind Nvidia’s strong surge in 2024. After this period of consolidation, Nvidia is forming another ascending broadening wedge, which points to the possibility of parabolic move. Given this pattern formation and the ongoing AI revolution, NVIDIA’s price target remains undefined as the stock stays in surge mode.

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Conclusion

In conclusion, NVIDIA’s exceptional financial performance in Q2 2025, marked by substantial revenue growth and strong demand across its segments, highlights company’s leading position in the AI and advanced computing markets. With its significant revenue increase and innovative product offerings, the Data Centre segment continues to drive its growth and is poised for further expansion as AI adoption accelerates.

While other segments like Gaming and AI PC, Professional Visualization, and Automotive and Robotics also showed positive trends, the Data Center segment stands out as the strongest performer with the most promising future.

From the technical perspective, the stock remains bullish, supported by solid volatility and potential for further gains. The emergence of another ascending broadening wedge indicates that the price will likely continue to rise. As NVIDIA continues to innovate and capitalize on emerging technologies, the company’s outlook remains robust, with substantial opportunities for growth in the short and long term.

About the Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD is a financial markets analyst, founder and president of the website Gold Predictors, and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets. He employs his technical background to challenge the prevalent assumptions and profit from misconceptions.

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