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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100: Could a Weak Jobs Report Spark Another Selloff in US Indices Today?

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Mar 7, 2025, 14:33 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures decline as weak jobs data and trade policy uncertainty rattle investor confidence.
  • The U.S. economy added just 151K jobs in February, missing forecasts and fueling concerns about slowing growth.
  • Treasury yields fall as traders bet the weak labor report could push the Fed toward an interest rate cut by June.
  • Tariff uncertainty remains a major market driver, with a temporary exemption for Canadian and Mexican imports until April 2.
  • Despite a rough week for stocks, AI giant Broadcom surged over 9% in premarket trading on strong earnings.
Nasdaq 100 Index, S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones

S&P 500 Futures Slide as Weak Jobs Report Caps Rough Week for Markets

Daily E-mini S&P 500 Index

S&P 500 futures declined Friday, with the benchmark index set for its worst week since September. Market sentiment remained fragile as trade policy uncertainty and disappointing labor data weighed on investor confidence.

At 14:10 GMT, futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.4%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.2%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 191 points, or 0.5%. The selling pressure followed a choppy week, driven by tariff concerns and signs of economic slowing.

Did the Jobs Report Alter Rate Cut Expectations?

The U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February, falling short of the 170,000 estimate from economists polled by Dow Jones. The unemployment rate inched up to 4.1% from 4%, reinforcing fears of a cooling labor market.

Following the data release, Treasury yields fell as traders adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The 10-year Treasury yield slid 7 basis points to 4.22%, while the 2-year yield declined 6 basis points to 3.90%. Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management, suggested the report could influence the Fed’s rate-cut timeline, raising the possibility of a move as soon as June.

How Are Tariffs Driving Market Volatility?

Markets remained on edge over shifting trade policies. The White House announced a temporary exemption from 25% tariffs on certain imports from Canada and Mexico under the USMCA, set to expire on April 2. While the relief provided some clarity, investors remained concerned about the broader implications of trade policy unpredictability.

“The stock market is moving in lockstep with tariff headlines,” Smith noted. “Volatility is likely to remain high as investors grapple with uncertainty.”

What’s Next for Stocks?

Equities struggled throughout the week, with the Dow falling over 400 points on Thursday and the Nasdaq Composite entering correction territory, down more than 10% from its all-time high. The S&P 500 has lost 3.6% this week, while the Dow is down 2.9%. The Nasdaq is the worst performer, sliding 4.1%.

Despite the broader selloff, Broadcom surged more than 9% in premarket trading on strong earnings, providing a boost to AI-related stocks. Nvidia also saw premarket gains.

Outlook: Can the Market Stabilize?

Investors will closely watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments later in the day for insights into monetary policy. With concerns over economic softening and tariff-related volatility, the market may remain under pressure in the near term. However, AI-driven stocks continue to show resilience, potentially offering a sector-specific bright spot. Traders should prepare for ongoing choppiness as markets digest policy uncertainty and economic data trends.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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