What Does A New “Geopolitical War Cycle” Mean For Commodity Prices In 2024?

This comes as no surprise, given today’s highly macro-driven backdrop is fuelling one of the greatest wealth creation opportunities the world has ever seen.

Commodities Surge Amid Global Shifts, Elections, and Geopolitical War Cycle

Traders are turning to Commodities at one of the fastest paces seen in over a year to capitalize on the biggest macro themes expected to drive the markets in 2024 including – a peak in the U.S dollar. Escalating Geopolitical risks with two major wars currently ongoing in Europe and the Middle East and National Elections taking place in over 50% of the global economy – with a combined total of over 4 billion people set to vote – positioning 2024 as the biggest election year ever in world history.

Meanwhile the global push towards Green Energy and Carbon Neutral Policies, will almost certainly play a critical role in supercharging demand for the world’s most highly essential Commodities and Rare Earth metals.

Last but definitely not least – the long-awaited pivot away from aggressive interest rate hikes to bigger-than-expected rate cuts throughout 2024. According to Goldman Sachs, “the set up for Commodities is looking better than it was last year and if central banks proceed with interest rate cuts, you’re teeing yourself up for a fantastic 2024. This is just a classic own Commodities scenario”.

And just in case that wasn’t enough – conclusive evidence shows that we are now firmly amidst a new “Geopolitical War Cycle”, which Wall Street has dubbed as the most bullish environment imaginable for the entire Commodities complex.

You only have to look at the Commodity markets to gauge sentiment.

Global Crisis Sparks Commodity Surge

On Friday, Oil prices soared above $80 a barrel for the first time in 2024 – as the world’s shipping giants stopped sending their container-packed ships through the Red Sea and diverted their vessels on a long route around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope.

The Red Sea a crucial gateway, which handles 40% of the world’s container traffic for transporting Energies, Commodities and Consumer Goods. Supply shocks of this magnitude in an already fragile system can have catastrophic consequences as history has shown us.

Oil’s explosive rally also pulled many other Commodities higher – including Gold, Silver, Palladium, Platinum and Natural Gas, which has tallied up an impressive gain of more than 54% since mid-December.

But the real star performer was Uranium, which surged above $92.50 per pound to hit its highest level since 2007 – posting a whopping gain of over 85%, from this time last year.

And the rally might not stop there!

Whichever way you look at it, one thing is clear. The longer this crisis goes on, the higher energy prices will go, which in return will make it more expensive for companies to transport essential Commodities – opening the door to a major squeeze in prices ahead.

Commodity Price Forecast

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions: