In the third quarter of 2023, U.S. real GDP growth slowed to 4.9%, adjusted down from an initial 5.2% estimate.
There was an increase in current-dollar personal income, though slightly lower than previously estimated. Disposable personal income and personal saving also saw revisions. Corporate profits showed an overall increase, with nonfinancial corporations leading the gains.
Analysis of GDP by industry revealed significant contributions from private goods-producing industries, private services-producing industries, and the government sector. Key contributors included nondurable goods manufacturing and construction, with retail trade and information services also playing a significant role.
Considering these revisions and current economic conditions, the short-term outlook suggests continued, albeit moderate, economic growth. The focus now shifts to upcoming GDP releases for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the full year, which will provide further insights into the health of the U.S. economy.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.