U.S. July's PPI rose 0.3% after June's flat performance, surpassing the 0.2% estimate.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.3% seasonally adjusted rise in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand in July. This comes after a stagnant June and a 0.3% decline in May. In a year-over-year comparison, the unadjusted index for final demand recorded a 0.8% advance ending in July.
The surge in the final demand prices was primarily attributed to a 0.5% increase in the index for final demand services. Conversely, final demand goods witnessed a more modest increase, edging up by 0.1%. Notably, the final demand foods sector contributed significantly with a 0.5% rise. However, prices for final demand goods, excluding foods and energy, remained static, similar to final demand energy.
Digging deeper, the index for final demand, excluding foods, energy, and trade services, experienced a 0.2% increment in July – the most substantial growth since February. Over the past 12 months, this index has grown by 2.7%. A significant part of the July progress, about 40%, was due to a pronounced 7.6% surge in portfolio management prices. Other sectors, such as machinery and vehicle wholesaling and outpatient care, also registered positive movement. On the downside, food and alcohol retailing saw a 2.5% decline.
Given the current data and trends, the market sentiment leans slightly bullish. The consistent growth in the services sector, coupled with the steady performance of goods, indicates a robust economic backdrop. While monthly core PPI is anticipated to increase by 0.2%, market players should monitor these indices closely for any shifts that might impact future strategies.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.