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Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Holds Steady on the Fear Zone Border

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Oct 3, 2022, 01:00 GMT+00:00

BTC ended the week in positive territory despite a bearish weekend. Investors will look for a further decoupling from the NASDAQ to shift sentiment.

BTC finds early support - FX Empire

Key Insights:

  • On Sunday, bitcoin (BTC) wrapped up a bearish weekend with a 1.29% fall to end the week at $19,067.
  • Market angst over US inflation and the Fed continued to weigh, with the NASDAQ 100 Mini adding pressure in the final hour (UTC).
  • Despite the bearish session, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index held steady at 24/100.

On Sunday, bitcoin (BTC) fell by 1.29%. Following a 0.59% decline on Saturday, BTC ended the week up 1.33% to $19,067.

A mixed start to the session saw BTC rise to a late morning high of $19,396. Coming up short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $19,482, BTC slid to a final hour low of $18,943.

BTC fell through the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,154 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $18,991 before a partial recovery to $19,067.

While market sentiment Fed fear and investor jitters over the economic outlook lingered, the NASDAQ 100 Mini weighed. BTC moved within tight ranges before the NASDAQ Mini influence. A fall in the NASDAQ 100 Mini sent BTC to sub-$19,000 in the final hour (UTC).

At the time of writing, the NASDAQ 100 Mini was down 115.50 points.

NASDAQ 100 correlation.
NASDAQ – BTCUSD 031022 Daily Chart

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Holds Steady Despite Bearish Session

Today, the Fear & Greed Index held steady at 24/100. A bearish BTC session, weighed by the NASDAQ 100 Mini, led BTC into the red. However, BTC recovered from sub-$19,000, which continued to suggest a bottoming out.

US inflation figures from Friday, Fed monetary policy, and the economic outlook remained crypto market headwinds.

For the bulls, the Index will need to continue to avoid sub-20/100 to support a shift in sentiment. However, a fall to sub-20/100 would signal a BTC slide to sub-$18,000.

Fear & Greed Index holds steady.
Fear & Greed 031022

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action

At the time of writing, BTC was up 0.04% to $19,074. A choppy start to the day saw BTC fall to an early low of $18,980 before rising to a high of $19,131.

BTC sees a choppy start.
BTCUSD 031022 Daily Chart

Technical Indicators

BTC needs to move through the $19,135 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $19,328 and the Sunday high of $19,396. A BTC move through the Sunday high of $19,396 would signal a bullish session.

In the case of another extended rally, BTC should test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $19,588 and target the Third Major Resistance Level (R3) at $20,041.

Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $18,875 in play. Barring an extended sell-off, BTC should avoid sub-$18,500. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $18,682 will likely limit the downside.

The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $18,229.

Support levels in play below the pivot.
BTCUSD 031022 Hourly Chart

Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), it was a bearish signal. This morning, bitcoin sat at the 50-day EMA, currently at $19,321. The 50-day EMA slipped back from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA easing back from the 200-day EMA, delivering bearish price signals.

A move through the 50-day ($19,321) EMA and R1 ($19,328) would give the bulls a run at the 100-day EMA ($19,469) and R2 ($19,588). The 200-day EMA sits at $19,919. However, a failure to move through the 50-day EMA ($19,321) would give the bears a run at the Major Support Levels.

EMAs bearish.
BTCUSD 031022 4 Hourly Chart

 

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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