USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Breaks ¥110 After Jobs Report

The US dollar has rallied during the course of the trading session on Friday, breaking above the 50 day EMA and of course the psychologically important ¥110 level. That is an area that of course is an important area that we have seen tested multiple times in both directions. The market has a significant amount of resistance just above here at the ¥110.75 level, so whether or not we can break above there is a completely different question, and quite frankly would not be surprised at all to see that area fail. Furthermore, if you look at this chart you can make a little bit of an argument for a descending channel as of late.

USD/JPY Video 09.08.21

If we do turn around a break down below the 50 day EMA, then I think we will start granting down towards the 200 day EMA underneath, which is currently sitting at the ¥108.50 level. After all, the area of about one handle above or we are right now significant resistance that extends all the way to the ¥112 level. It is a longer-term area to worry about, so it makes quite a bit of sense that it would take a massive amount of effort to get through. With that being the case, I think it is only a matter of time before we roll over.

That being said, if the pair does tend to go higher over the longer term, I do not necessarily know that I would be a buyer of this one, but I might be convinced to buy pairs with a bit more alpha, speaking specifically of the GBP/JPY pair, AUD/JPY pair, and the NZD/JPY pair.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.