On Tuesday, XRP declined by 0.09%. After a 1.01% rise on Monday, XRP ended the Tuesday session at $0.5622.
On Tuesday, there were no SEC v Ripple case-related updates to consider. Ripple and the SEC progressed through the remedies-related summary with no last-minute dramas to spook investors.
The SEC and Ripple will now begin drafting remedy-related briefs. According to the court briefing schedule, the SEC must file its remedy-related brief by March 13. The SEC will argue for a punitive disgorgement to deter firms from breaching Section 5 of the US Securities Act.
There is uncertainty about the likely size of the penalty that Ripple must pay for XRP sales to institutional investors. The court decision could hinge on whether Ripple continued to breach Section 5 of the US Securities Act after the December 2020 complaint.
In January, Judge Sarah Netburn granted the SEC Motion to Compel, ordering Ripple to,
In the court ruling, Judge Netburn made certain statements that warrant consideration. These included,
Judge Netburn also acknowledged that the SEC presented sufficient arguments to show that post-complaint XRP institutional sales proceeds could assist the courts in deriving a remedy.
Considering Judge Netburn’s ruling and comments, Ripple could face a hefty penalty if it continued to breach Section 5 of the US Securities Laws after the complaint.
However, the US courts will likely only consider XRP sales to US institutional investors.
While the SEC will argue for a punitive disgorgement, US case law could limit the quantum of the penalty.
Ripple must file its remedy-related brief by April 12. US case law could favor Ripple, particularly if there were no post-complaint XRP sales to US institutional investors.
The legal defense team may consider the following arguments to limit the penalty:
Ripple will attempt to whittle down net proceeds for the court to consider in arriving at a penalty for XRP sales to US institutional investors. Importantly, there is a legal precedent that supports a less punitive disgorgement. However, post-complaint compliance with US Securities Laws is likely crucial.
The SEC must file a reply brief to the Ripple remedy-related brief by April 19. Importantly, the SEC will have an opportunity to reinforce its remedy-related brief and argue against Ripple’s filing.
XRP hovered above the 50-day and 200 EMAs, sending bullish price signals.
An XRP return to the $0.57 handle would support a move to the $0.5835 resistance level.
SEC v Ripple case-related news needs consideration.
However, a break below the 200-day EMA would support a fall to the 50-day EMA and the $0.5470 support level.
The 14-day RSI reading, 59.26, indicates an XRP move to the $0.5835 resistance level before entering overbought territory.
On the 4-hourly, XRP remained above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming bullish price signals.
An XRP breakout from the $0.57 handle would bring the $0.5835 resistance level into play.
However, a drop below the 50-day EMA would give the bears a run at the $0.5470 support level and the 200-day EMA.
The 4-hourly RSI, with a reading of 52.65, suggests an XRP move to the $0.5835 resistance level before entering overbought territory.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.