Ripple and XRP are in focus this week as investors track developments in the Ripple case. The SEC will hold a closed meeting on February 20. Commissioners may use this opportunity to discuss their appeal strategy.
According to the Sunshine Act Notice, the agenda includes discussions on:
The agenda items open the door to discussions about ongoing SEC vs. crypto cases, including the Ripple case.
As the SEC’s closed meeting approaches, speculation is growing about a potential withdrawal of the appeal in the Ripple case. Since filing the appeal-related opening brief on January 15, an overhaul within the SEC has fueled expectations of a shift in approach.
Acting Chair Mark Uyeda, appointed by President Trump, placed Commissioner Hester Peirce as head of the Crypto Task Force. The Crypto Task Force could oversee the resolution of non-fraud-related crypto cases.
Last week, court filings in several SEC vs. crypto cases, including Binance, Coinbase, and Lejilex, called for extensions, citing the Crypto Task Force’s potential role in resolutions. The extensions could coincide with Paul Atkins’ confirmation as SEC Chair, enabling the agency to end its regulatory enforcement approach toward digital assets.
While no court filings are due in the Ripple case until April, the SEC could face pressure to withdraw its appeal sooner. The absence of fraud findings in Ripple’s case strengthens the chances of withdrawal. In November, now acting Chair Uyeda stated:
“The Commission’s war on crypto must end, including crypto enforcement actions solely based on a failure to register with no allegation of fraud or harm. President Trump and the American electorate have sent a clear message. Starting in 2025, the SEC’s role is to carry out that mandate.”
Legal experts expect incoming Chair Paul Atkins will adopt a similar stance, further boosting the chances of an appeal withdrawal. Former SEC Office of Internet Enforcement Chief John Reed Stark commented:
“He would likely reverse course on the SEC’s crypto-enforcement efforts. […] Paul favors free markets and hates over-regulation – which should be a net-positive for the cryptoverse.”
On Sunday, February 16, XRP declined by 1.20%, reversing Saturday’s 0.91% gain to close at 2.7296. XRP tracked the broader crypto market, which fell 1.28% to a total market cap of $3.14 trillion. Despite Sunday’s retreat, XRP outperformed the broader market in the week ending February 16. The token surged by 14%, while the total crypto market cap rose 1.21%.
XRP’s price gains reflected optimism about the SEC withdrawing its appeal and anticipation of a US XRP-spot ETF market. The SEC acknowledged the 19b-4 applications from Grayscale and 21Shares, signaling a shift in the agency’s stance toward XRP.
Key Price Scenarios:
Click here to find out why analysts believe XRP could skyrocket—or crash—based on the SEC’s decision.
Beyond Ripple and XRP, bitcoin (BTC) remained a focal point. Since President Trump first announced plans for tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico on January 31, BTC has struggled to reclaim the crucial $100k mark, finding itself in a sideways loop.
Trump’s tariffs could increase US import costs and inflation, potentially leading to a more hawkish Fed rate path. A higher-for-longer Fed rate may raise borrowing costs, impacting risk assets, including BTC.
US economic data has also pegged BTC back from the $100k level. In January, a pickup in inflationary pressures tempered bets on an H1 2025 Fed rate cut amid tariff uncertainty. The US BTC-spot ETF market reflected sentiment toward the Fed rate path, ending a six-week inflow streak in the week ending February 14.
On February 16, BTC dropped 1.51%, reversing Saturday’s 0.14% gain, closing at $96,225. Significantly, BTC fell short of the $100k level for the ninth consecutive session.
Looking ahead, it could be a pivotal week for BTC and the broader crypto market. Key BTC catalysts include:
Possible BTC Price Scenarios:
Investors should closely track the following as these key factors will influence institutional engagement and price trends in the crypto market.:
Will the SEC finally withdraw its appeal? Keep an eye out for our updates and the latest insights here.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.