The US dollar has fallen a bit during the course of the trading week to reach the ¥127.50 level. This is an area where we see a little bit of support previously, so it is not a huge surprise to see that we stopped here.
The US dollar has fallen significantly during the week to reach the ¥127.50 level where we found a little bit of support. This market has been extraordinarily parabolic for some time, so it should not be a huge surprise to see that we pulled back a bit. Quite frankly, I would anticipate a bit more and would love to see this pair drop to the ¥125 level, as it is a little bit more palatable to buy the market in that area. The market has been overdone for a while, but the fundamentals still line up for a bigger move to the upside.
The Bank of Japan has been fighting interest rates for a while now, thereby printing unlimited yen. This has driven the value of the yen down quite drastically, as shown in the chart. However, you eventually will see a significant pullback after these types of moves, and we may be on the precipice of that. I will look at this as a potential buying opportunity, not something that I would be short of. After all, this type of move does not happen in a vacuum, nor does it happen randomly.
There is a reason why people are selling the yen, but you do not want to be too piggish with a trade, so if you were one of the people who got involved 500 points lower, taking a bit of profit would not be a bad thing. Imagine that situation if you are trading millions of dollars, you would obviously want to protect those gains. By doing so, traders will sell this off, but I do think it is only a matter of time before we can find value.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.